Punts (1)

In a new part of the blog I have decided to document a number of punts that I will be making throughout the year. I am calling them punts as most of them will be long term positions that I will take by looking at stats and using my own intuition. In reality, though I will often trade out of many of these positions so you could more accurately call them long term trades.

The Next Manager Markets

I like exploring the bets on offer in the next manager markets as I have had a lot of success with them and sometimes they offer a lot of volatility. I was involved in the next newcastle manager and ended up with a loss of 2% that is yet to be settled. I did actually manage to back Kevin Keegan at 9's, however, I traded out as I couldnt see it happening myself and I had a number of other positions on other candidates.

Ireland. I have an all green book on this market after I correctly predicted a shortening of odds of Terry Venables and the drifting of Paul Jewell's odds. Recently, I have backed Lawrie Sanchez at 19s as I know he is being interviewed for the job and I have laid Didi Deschamps as I think his odds are too low.

The One and Only (BBC1). I have taken an interest in this show after watching both of the first two episodes. I have done alright in reality tv markets in the past and after watching the shows I am recommending the following backs:

Cher @ 4.0    Reccommend a small back. She seems to have all the Cher moves, looks just liker her but imo her voice is a little lacking. But I feel her odds may well shorten. This type of show has never been done before so it is difficult to predict what will happen but for some reason I have a feeling that a guy will win it. This favourite could easily be overturned.

Frank Sinatra    @ 7.0 One of the best voices in the competition Im sure this guy will have strong public support throughout and will go far possibly to the end but Im not sure if he'll win it.

Robbie Williams @ 8.0 Not the best voice but a dead ringer for Robbie and could have a loyal following due to the fact robbie is so popular and the people voting - young girls(?) will take a liking to him

Lionel Richie @ 7.0   I like this guys voice and he is a bit quirky being a) white and b) ginger. Could be a dark horse

Elton John @ 32    I was surprised to see Elton John priced so highly as he was one of my favourites from the show. He has a good strong voice that is like eltons and can also play the piano well which will be in his favour. It would be nice if this one comes in :)

Because of this I feel the other contestants can be rightly opposed. Diana Ross, madonna, kylie, dusty sprignfield and tom jones seem to have pretty weak voices in my opinion from the first two shows and I feel britney spears's act isnt quite good enough.